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Estimation of load and resistance factors using the third-moment method based on the 3P-lognormal distribution

Yan-Gang ZHAO, Zhao-Hui LU

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2011年 第5卷 第3期   页码 315-322 doi: 10.1007/s11709-011-0117-7

摘要： Load and resistance factors are generally obtained using the first order reliability method (FORM) in which the design point should be determined and derivative-based iterations used. In this article, the third-moment reliability index, based on the three-parameter lognormal (3P-lognormal) distribution, is investigated. A simple method based on the third-moment method for estimating load and resistance factors is then proposed, and a simple formula for the target mean resistance is also presented to avoid iterative computations. Unlike the currently used method, the proposed method can be used to determine load and resistance factors, even when the probability density functions (PDFs) of the basic random variables are not available. Moreover, the proposed method does not require the iterative computation of derivatives or any design points. Thus, the method provides a more convenient and effective way to estimate load and resistance factors in practical engineering applications. Numerical examples are presented to demonstrate the advantages of the proposed third moment method for determining load and resistance factors.

关键词： load and resistance factors     third-moment method     three-parameter lognormal (3P-lognormal) distribution     target mean resistance     simple formula    

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Seismic fragility curves for structures using non-parametric representations

Chu MAI, Katerina KONAKLI, Bruno SUDRET

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2017年 第11卷 第2期   页码 169-186 doi: 10.1007/s11709-017-0385-y

摘要： Fragility curves are commonly used in civil engineering to assess the vulnerability of structures to earthquakes. The probability of failure associated with a prescribed criterion (e.g., the maximal inter-storey drift of a building exceeding a certain threshold) is represented as a function of the intensity of the earthquake ground motion (e.g., peak ground acceleration or spectral acceleration). The classical approach relies on assuming a lognormal shape of the fragility curves; it is thus parametric. In this paper, we introduce two non-parametric approaches to establish the fragility curves without employing the above assumption, namely binned Monte Carlo simulation and kernel density estimation. As an illustration, we compute the fragility curves for a three-storey steel frame using a large number of synthetic ground motions. The curves obtained with the non-parametric approaches are compared with respective curves based on the lognormal assumption. A similar comparison is presented for a case when a limited number of recorded ground motions is available. It is found that the accuracy of the lognormal curves depends on the ground motion intensity measure, the failure criterion and most importantly, on the employed method for estimating the parameters of the lognormal shape.

关键词： earthquake engineering     fragility curves     lognormal assumption     non-parametric approach     kernel density estimation     epistemic uncertainty    

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Distributed energy management for networked microgrids in a three-phase unbalanced distribution network

《能源前沿（英文）》 2023年 第17卷 第3期   页码 446-446 doi: 10.1007/s11708-022-0851-7

摘要： Owing to increased penetration of three-phase and single-phase microgrids, distributed energy resources (DERs), and responsive loads, the maintenance of a three-phase balance by distribution networks is a significant challenge. Existing literature on distributed energy management for networked microgrids generally neglects the distribution network or employs a simplified phase balanced distribution network; thus, these evaluations are not applicable. Further, the underlying mutual coupling between the different phases of distribution feeders results in a more challenging situation. To solve this issue, this study sought to propose distributed energy management based on a three-phase unbalanced distribution network. Various three-phase or single-phase microgrids, utility-owned DERs, and responsive loads were coordinated through iteratively adjusted price signals. Based on the price signals received, the microgrid controllers (MCs) and distribution management system (DMS) updated the schedules of the DERs and responsive loads under their jurisdiction separately. The price signals were then updated according to the generation-load mismatch at each node and distributed to the corresponding MCs and DMS for the next iteration. The iteration continued until a sufficiently small generation-load mismatch was achieved at all nodes, that is, a balanced generation and load at all nodes under the agreed price signals. Considering a three-phase unbalanced distribution network, the price signals were determined per phase per node. Overall, the proposed distributed energy management coordinates microgrids, utility-owned DERs, responsive loads with guaranteed network constraints, and preserves the privacy of microgrid customers. This distributed energy management method was further demonstrated through various case studies on a three-phase networked microgrid test system.

关键词： distributed optimization     energy management     networked microgrids     three-phase distribution network     distributed energy resources    

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Three-dimensional numerical simulation of flow in trapezoidal cutthroat flumes based on FLOW-3D

Danjie RAN, Wene WANG, Xiaotao HU

《农业科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2018年 第5卷 第2期   页码 168-176 doi: 10.15302/J-FASE-2018217

摘要： To solve the common problem of flumes flow-measurement accuracy without sacrificing water head, a new type of trapezoidal cutthroat flume to measure the discharge in terminal trapezoidal channels is presented. Using the computational fluid dynamic method, three-dimensional flow fields in trapezoidal cutthroat flumes were simulated using the RNG three-dimensional turbulence model along with the TruVOF technique. Simulations were performed for 12 working conditions, with discharges up to 0.075 m ·s to determine hydraulic performance. Experimental data for the trapezoidal cutthroat flume in terminal trapezoidal channel were also obtained to validate the simulation results. Velocity distribution of the flume obtained from simulation analyses were compared with observed results based on time-averaged flow field and comparison yielded a solid agreement between results from the two methods, with relative error below 10%. The results indicated that the Froude number and the longitudinal average velocity increased along the convergence section and decreased in the divergent section. In the upper throat, the Froude number was less than 0.5, which meets the water measurement requirement, and the critical flow appeared near the throat section. The maximum water head loss of the trapezoidal cutthroat flume was less than 9% of the total head, compared to the rectangular cutthroat flume, and head loss of trapezoidal cutthroat flume was significantly less. Regression models developed for upstream depth versus discharge under different working conditions were satisfactory, with a relative error of less than 2.06%, which meets the common requirements of flow measurement in irrigation areas. It was concluded that trapezoidal cutthroat flumes can improve flow-measurement accuracy without sacrificing water head.

关键词： distribution of velocity     Froude number     head loss     stage-discharge relationship     trapezoidal cutthroat flume    

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Numerical analysis of 3-D unsteady flow in a vaneless counter-rotating turbine

ZHAO Qingjun, WANG Huishe, ZHAO Xiaolu, XU Jianzhong

《能源前沿（英文）》 2007年 第1卷 第3期   页码 352-358 doi: 10.1007/s11708-007-0053-3

摘要： To reveal the unsteady flow characteristics of a vaneless counter-rotating turbine (VCRT), a three-dimensional, viscous, unsteady computational fluid dynamics (CFD) analysis was performed. The results show that unsteady simulation is superior to steady simulation because more flow characteristics can be obtained. The unsteady effects in upstream airfoil rows are weaker than those in downstream airfoil rows in the VCRT. The static pressure distribution along the span in the pressure surface of a high pressure turbine stator is more uniform than that in the suction surface. The static pressure distributions along the span in the pressure surfaces and the suction surfaces of a high pressure turbine rotor and a low pressure turbine rotor are all uneven. The numerical results also indicate that the load of a high pressure turbine rotor will increase with the increase of the span. The deviation is very big between the direction of air flow at the outlet of a high pressure turbine rotor and the axial direction. A similar result can also be obtained in the outlet of a low pressure turbine rotor. This means that the specific work of a high pressure turbine rotor and a low pressure turbine rotor is big enough to reach the design objectives.

关键词： unsteady flow     three-dimensional     pressure distribution     similar result     unsteady simulation    

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Method of internal 3D flow field numerical simulation for hydrodynamic torque converter

SHANG Tao, ZHAO Dingxuan, ZHANG Yuankun, GUO Xiangen, SHI Xiangzhong

《机械工程前沿（英文）》 2008年 第3卷 第1期   页码 86-90 doi: 10.1007/s11465-008-0012-7

摘要： To enhance the performance of a hydrodynamic torque converter and thoroughly understand the trait of inside flow, a numerical simulation method of internal 3D flow for the three-element centrifugal hydrodynamic torque converter was systematically researched and expatiated in this paper. First, the internal flow field of each impeller was calculated. The curves that illustrate the relationships between the pressure differences of the inlet and outlet versus flux were drawn. Second, the concurrent working point of each impeller was approximately estimated. Finally, a calculation was performed considering the influence on each impeller. The flow field of a working point was solved by multiple calculations and the actual working condition was gradually determined. The pressure and velocity distributions of the flow field were proposed. The performance parameters of the hydrodynamic torque converter were predicted. The calculation method, and the proposed pressure and velocity distribution of the flow field, have practical significance for the design and improvement of a hydrodynamic torque converter.

关键词： velocity distribution     calculation     numerical simulation     three-element centrifugal     converter    

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Intelligent algorithm for optimal meter placement and bus voltage estimation in ring main distribution

P. CHOWDHURY

《能源前沿（英文）》 2012年 第6卷 第1期   页码 47-56 doi: 10.1007/s11708-011-0159-5

摘要： The advancement in power distribution system poses a great challenge to power engineering researchers on how to best monitor and estimate the state of the distribution network. This paper is executed in two stage processes. The first stage is to identify the optimal location for installation of monitoring instrument with minimal investment cost. The second stage is to estimate the bus voltage magnitude, where real time measurement is conducted and measured through identified meter location which is more essential for decision making in distribution supervisory control and data acquisition system (DSCADA). The hybrid intelligent technique is applied to execute the above two algorithms. The algorithms are tested with institute of electrical and electronics engineers (IEEE) and Tamil Nadu electricity board (TNEB) benchmark systems. The simulated results proves that the swarm tuned artificial neural network (ANN) estimator is best suited for accurate estimation of voltage with different noise levels.

关键词： artificial intelligence     power distribution control     state estimation    

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P2P energy trading via public power networks: Practical challenges, emerging solutions, and the way forward

《能源前沿（英文）》 2023年 第17卷 第2期   页码 189-197 doi: 10.1007/s11708-023-0873-9

摘要： Peer-to-peer (P2P) energy trading is an emerging energy supply paradigm where customers with distributed energy resources (DERs) are allowed to directly trade and share electricity with each other. P2P energy trading can facilitate local power and energy balance, thus being a potential way to manage the rapidly increasing number of DERs in net zero transition. It is of great importance to explore P2P energy trading via public power networks, to which most DERs are connected. Despite the extensive research on P2P energy trading, there has been little large-scale commercial deployment in practice across the world. In this paper, the practical challenges of conducting P2P energy trading via public power networks are identified and presented, based on the analysis of a practical Local Virtual Private Networks (LVPNs) case in North Wales, UK. The ongoing efforts and emerging solutions to tackling the challenges are then summarized and critically reviewed. Finally, the way forward for facilitating P2P energy trading via public power networks is proposed.

关键词： distribution network     local virtual private network     network charges     peer-to-peer (P2P) energy trading     practical implementation.    

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noncoding RNA LOC646029 functions as a ceRNA to suppress ovarian cancer progression through the miR-627-3p

《医学前沿（英文）》   页码 924-938 doi: 10.1007/s11684-023-1004-z

摘要： Long noncoding RNAs (lncRNAs) play a crucial regulatory role in the development and progression of multiple cancers. However, the potential mechanism by which lncRNAs affect the recurrence and metastasis of ovarian cancer remains unclear. In the current study, the lncRNA LOC646029 was markedly downregulated in metastatic ovarian tumors compared with primary tumors. Gain- and loss-of-function assays demonstrated that LOC646029 inhibits the proliferation, invasiveness, and metastasis of ovarian cancer cells in vivo and in vitro. Moreover, the downregulation of LOC646029 in metastatic ovarian tumors was strongly correlated with poor prognosis. Mechanistically, LOC646029 served as a miR-627-3p sponge to promote the expression of Sprouty-related EVH1 domain-containing protein 1, which is necessary for suppressing tumor metastasis and inhibiting KRAS signaling. Collectively, our results demonstrated that LOC646029 is involved in the progression and metastasis of ovarian cancer, which may be a potential prognostic biomarker.

关键词： ovarian cancer     lncRNA LOC646029     metastasis     microRNA 627-3p     SPRED1    

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Probabilistic model for vessel-bridge collisions in the Three Gorges Reservoir

Bo GENG , Hong WANG , Junjie WANG ,

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2009年 第3卷 第3期   页码 279-285 doi: 10.1007/s11709-009-0044-z

摘要： Based on a field observation on vessel transit path of three bridges over the Yangtze River in the Three Gorges Reservoir, and an analysis of the geometric probabilistic model of transiting vessels in collision probability calculation, the aberrancy angle and vessel velocity probabilistic model related with impact force, a probabilistic model is established and also verified by goodness-of-fit test. The vessel transit path distribution can be expressed by the normal distribution model. For the Three Gorges Reservoir, the mean and standard deviation adopt 0.2 and 0.1, respectively ( is the channel width). The aberrancy angle distribution of vessels accepts maximum I distribution model, and its distribution parameters can be taken as 0.314 and 4.354. The velocity distribution of up-bound and down-bound vessels can also be expressed by the normal distribution model.

关键词： vessel-bridge collision     probabilistic model     parameter statistics    

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Principle of maximum entropy for reliability analysis in the design of machine components

Yimin ZHANG

《机械工程前沿（英文）》 2019年 第14卷 第1期   页码 21-32 doi: 10.1007/s11465-018-0512-z

摘要： We studied the reliability of machine components with parameters that follow an arbitrary statistical distribution using the principle of maximum entropy (PME). We used PME to select the statistical distribution that best fits the available information. We also established a probability density function (PDF) and a failure probability model for the parameters of mechanical components using the concept of entropy and the PME. We obtained the first four moments of the state function for reliability analysis and design. Furthermore, we attained an estimate of the PDF with the fewest human bias factors using the PME. This function was used to calculate the reliability of the machine components, including a connecting rod, a vehicle half-shaft, a front axle, a rear axle housing, and a leaf spring, which have parameters that typically follow a non-normal distribution. Simulations were conducted for comparison. This study provides a design methodology for the reliability of mechanical components for practical engineering projects.

关键词： machine components     reliability     arbitrary distribution parameter     principle of maximum entropy    

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Kinematic Model Building and Servo Parameter Identification of 3-HSS Parallel Mechanism

YANG Zhi-yong, WU Jiang, HUANG Tian, NI Yan-bing

《机械工程前沿（英文）》 2006年 第1卷 第1期   页码 60-66 doi: 10.1007/s11465-005-0019-2

摘要：

Aiming at a parallel mechanism with three degrees of freedom, a method for dynamic model building and the parameter identification of its servosystem is presented. First, the reverse solution models of position, velocity, and acceleration of parallelogram branch structure are deduced, and then, its dynamic model of a rigid body is set up by using the virtual work principle. Based on the above model, a method to identify the servo parameter of the parallel mechanism is put up. In this method, the triangle-shaped input with variable frequency is adopted to offset the disadvantages of pseudorandom number sequence in parameter identification, such as dramatically changing the vibration amplitude of the motor, easily impacting the motor that results in its velocity loop to easily open, and so on. Moreover, the rotary inertia can also be identified by the additive mass. The abovementioned data will lay a solid foundation for the optimum performance of the system in the whole workspace.

关键词： building     acceleration     additive     workspace     optimum performance    

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A comprehensive analysis of a 3-P (Pa) S spatial parallel manipulator

Yuzhe LIU,Liping WANG,Jun WU,Jinsong WANG

《机械工程前沿（英文）》 2015年 第10卷 第1期   页码 7-19 doi: 10.1007/s11465-015-0324-3

摘要：

In this paper, a novel 3-degree of freedom (3-DOF) spatial parallel kinematic machine (PKM) is analyzed. The manipulator owns three main motions (two rotations and one translation) and three concomitant motions (one rotation and two translations). At first, the structure of this spatial PKM is simplified according to the characteristic of each limb. Secondly, the kinematics model of this spatial PKM is set up. In addition, the relationship between the main motions and concomitant motions is studied. The workspaces respectively based on the outputs and inputs are derived and analyzed. Furthermore, the velocity model is put forward. Two indexes based on the velocity model are employed to investigate the performance of this spatial PKM. At last, the output error model can be obtained and simulated. The comprehensive kinematics analysis in this paper is greatly useful for the future applications of this spatial PKM.

关键词： parallel mechanism     concomitant motions     kinematics     workspaces     error model    

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Identifying the driving factors of successful megaproject construction management: Findings from three

Qinghua HE, Junyan XU, Ting WANG, Albert P. C. CHAN

《工程管理前沿（英文）》 2021年 第8卷 第1期   页码 5-16 doi: 10.1007/s42524-019-0058-8

摘要： The construction of megaprojects has always resulted in extensive and long-term impacts on the society. However, the performance of megaproject management is poor, and improving it remains an urgent and necessary issue. Although many studies on megaproject success have been conducted, existing studies on the driving factors of successful megaproject construction are rather limited. Therefore, this study aims to systematically explore the key factors that can lead to successful megaproject construction management based on three cases: The Beijing–Shanghai High-Speed Railway, the Three Gorges Dam, and the Hong Kong–Zhuhai–Macao Bridge. Mixed research methods, such as literature review, case studies, and expert interviews, were used in this study. Consequently, 11 driving factors, namely, government support, public support, accumulation and application of technology and experience, development and innovation of technology, innovation and application of management system, organizational mode and structure, top management support, project culture, megaproject citizenship behavior, corporate reputation, and fulfillment of social responsibilities, were identified and grouped into five categories, namely, project environment, construction capabilities, organization, positive culture and behavior, and requirements for sustainable development. The contributions of this study lie in two aspects. First, the driving factors of successful megaproject construction are identified to deepen the understanding of industrial practitioners, assist them in focusing on key factors, and aid them in effectively managing megaprojects. Second, researchers could use the identified driving factors in conducting further empirical studies and apply them in future projects to enhance their chances of success.

关键词： megaproject management     driving factors     project success     case study     China    

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RGS16 regulated by let-7c-5p promotes glioma progression by activating PI3K-AKT pathway

《医学前沿（英文）》 2023年 第17卷 第1期   页码 143-155 doi: 10.1007/s11684-022-0929-y

摘要： Gliomas are the most common central nervous system tumours; they are highly aggressive and have a poor prognosis. RGS16 belongs to the regulator of G-protein signalling (RGS) protein family, which plays an important role in promoting various cancers, such as breast cancer, pancreatic cancer, and colorectal cancer. Moreover, previous studies confirmed that let-7c-5p, a well-known microRNA, can act as a tumour suppressor to regulate the progression of various tumours by inhibiting the expression of its target genes. However, whether RGS16 can promote the progression of glioma and whether it is regulated by miR let-7c-5p are still unknown. Here, we confirmed that RGS16 is upregulated in glioma tissues and that high expression of RGS16 is associated with poor survival. Ectopic deletion of RGS16 significantly suppressed glioma cell proliferation and migration both in vitro and in vivo. Moreover, RGS16 was validated as a direct target gene of miR let-7c-5p. The overexpression of miR let-7c-5p obviously downregulated the expression of RGS16, and knocking down miR let-7c-5p had the opposite effect. Thus, we suggest that the suppression of RGS16 by miR let-7c-5p can promote glioma progression and may serve as a potential prognostic biomarker and therapeutic target in glioma.

关键词： RGS16     let-7c-5p     glioma     proliferation     migration    

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标题 作者 时间 类型 操作

Estimation of load and resistance factors using the third-moment method based on the 3P-lognormal distribution

Yan-Gang ZHAO, Zhao-Hui LU

期刊论文

Seismic fragility curves for structures using non-parametric representations

Chu MAI, Katerina KONAKLI, Bruno SUDRET

期刊论文

Distributed energy management for networked microgrids in a three-phase unbalanced distribution network

期刊论文

Three-dimensional numerical simulation of flow in trapezoidal cutthroat flumes based on FLOW-3D

Danjie RAN, Wene WANG, Xiaotao HU

期刊论文

Numerical analysis of 3-D unsteady flow in a vaneless counter-rotating turbine

ZHAO Qingjun, WANG Huishe, ZHAO Xiaolu, XU Jianzhong

期刊论文

Method of internal 3D flow field numerical simulation for hydrodynamic torque converter

SHANG Tao, ZHAO Dingxuan, ZHANG Yuankun, GUO Xiangen, SHI Xiangzhong

期刊论文

Intelligent algorithm for optimal meter placement and bus voltage estimation in ring main distribution

P. CHOWDHURY

期刊论文

P2P energy trading via public power networks: Practical challenges, emerging solutions, and the way forward

期刊论文

noncoding RNA LOC646029 functions as a ceRNA to suppress ovarian cancer progression through the miR-627-3p

期刊论文

Probabilistic model for vessel-bridge collisions in the Three Gorges Reservoir

Bo GENG , Hong WANG , Junjie WANG ,

期刊论文

Principle of maximum entropy for reliability analysis in the design of machine components

Yimin ZHANG

期刊论文

Kinematic Model Building and Servo Parameter Identification of 3-HSS Parallel Mechanism

YANG Zhi-yong, WU Jiang, HUANG Tian, NI Yan-bing

期刊论文

A comprehensive analysis of a 3-P (Pa) S spatial parallel manipulator

Yuzhe LIU,Liping WANG,Jun WU,Jinsong WANG

期刊论文

Identifying the driving factors of successful megaproject construction management: Findings from three

Qinghua HE, Junyan XU, Ting WANG, Albert P. C. CHAN

期刊论文

RGS16 regulated by let-7c-5p promotes glioma progression by activating PI3K-AKT pathway

期刊论文